Conspiracism and Government Distrust Predict COVID-19 Vaccine Refusal

dc.bibliographicCitation.issue1
dc.bibliographicCitation.volume12
dc.contributor.authorZilinsky, Jan
dc.contributor.authorTheocharis, Yannis
dc.date.accessioned2025-08-20T15:05:41Z
dc.date.available2025-08-20T15:05:41Z
dc.date.issued2025
dc.date.updated2025-07-05T14:24:45Z
dc.description.abstractVaccine hesitancy has been attributed to policy mistakes (e.g., poor communication), individual-level perceptions of risk (i.e., safety concerns about side-effects) and to structural factors, such as the politicization of public health in many countries. Institutional distrust has also been blamed for vaccine refusal, but few studies simultaneously control for possible psychological explanations such as the need for cognition, or general curiosity. A large cross-national dataset ( N  = 19,037) containing a behavioral measure of respondents’ interest in facts (whereby they choose whether to confront their opinions with fact-checks), as well as psychological batteries and information about respondents’ media consumption habits is used to identify the best predictors of refusal of the vaccine against COVID. Using logistic regression models with country fixed effects, followed by country-specific analyses, we assess the relative importance of a diverse set of predictors and show that conspiracism, which captures anti-systemic views and a belief that hidden forces influence political outcomes, and distrust in government are the most prognostic indicators of vaccine refusal. Dissatisfaction with democracy also predicts vaccine refusal. Models which account for conspiracism and evaluations of democracy and the national government also indicate that news consumption via social media is associated with vaccine refusal in a subset of countries.
dc.identifier.doi10.1057/s41599-025-05267-z
dc.identifier.urihttp://resolver.sub.uni-goettingen.de/purl?fidaac-11858/3631
dc.language.isoeng
dc.relation.journalHumanities and Social Sciences Communications
dc.rightsCC BY 4.0
dc.subject.ddcddc:300
dc.subject.ddcddc:320
dc.subject.fieldanglophoneliterature
dc.subject.fieldenglishstudies
dc.subject.fieldamericanstudies
dc.subject.fieldpoliticalscience
dc.subject.fieldsocialscience
dc.titleConspiracism and Government Distrust Predict COVID-19 Vaccine Refusal
dc.typearticle
dc.type.versionpublishedVersion
dspace.entity.typePublication

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